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Academy Securities identifies a significant tension between the robust institutional demand for semiconductors and an entrenched affordability crisis facing the general consumer. While institutional investors maintain strong positioning in the artificial intelligence sector, retail sentiment reflected in leveraged ETFs suggests that this momentum may be nearing a potential slowdown. Beyond the technology sector, the firm warns that 'higher for longer' oil prices and rising sovereign yields in Japan are beginning to undermine the long-standing dominance of U.S. Treasuries. This shift in the fixed-income landscape is actively increasing the cost of global debt, creating a more challenging environment for international credit markets. Ultimately, the research points toward a complex interplay where macroeconomic pressures and shifting yield curves may soon offset the gains seen in high-growth equity sectors.

5 reports available

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ProSec 2026 Vertically Integrated Nations and Rate Cuts

Academy Securities·Jul 5, 2026

Peter Tchir discusses the 'ProSec™' (Production for Security) framework, arguing that nations must prioritize the domestic production of essential sectors like electricity and semiconductors. He also reiterates his expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September 2026.

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Getting Ready for the Most Beautiful HUGE Long Weekend Ever

Academy Securities·Jun 21, 2026

Academy Securities analyst Peter Tchir shifted to a neutral stance on interest rates, citing reduced volatility from recent Fed policy commentary. The report also anticipates increased focus from the Trump administration on boosting the domestic economy ahead of the nation's 250th anniversary.

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Space The Now Frontier And The AI Revolution

Academy Securities·Jun 14, 2026

This report explores the dual themes of the burgeoning commercial and security-focused 'space economy' and the sociopolitical risks threatening the AI revolution.

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A Lot More Than Rates Moving Markets

Academy Securities·Jun 7, 2026

Peter Tchir argues that the recent market pullback, especially in tech and semiconductors, was driven by specific headlines regarding AI spending and S&P index eligibility for mega IPOs rather than interest rates. He expects bond yields to continue a steady grind higher amid inflationary pressures.

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AI vs Affordability and Rates

Academy Securities·May 17, 2026

A macro update highlighting the conflict between AI-driven growth and global affordability, while warning of 'higher for longer' oil prices and rising global bond yields.

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