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Deutsche Bank

June 1, 2026

Early Morning Reid

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyInformation Technology

Global markets are focused on a potential US-Iran ceasefire that has triggered a significant rally in bonds and lower oil prices, while awaiting critical US labor market data.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Market sentiment for June hinges on the success of a potential US-Iran ceasefire deal and its impact on the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.The upcoming US May employment report is the critical data point for the week, with forecasts suggesting a moderation in payroll growth to 50k.
  • 3.May performance was dominated by a sharp decline in oil prices and an explosion in AI-related chip stock returns, particularly in the KOSPI.

Table of Contents

  • Key Market Data
  • Day-by-day calendar of events
  • Other Market Data
  • Key Economic Data
  • Topical Deutsche Bank publications
  • Appendix 1
  • Additional Information

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Authors

Jim ReidHenry AllenPeter SidorovAsim Kaul

Securities

SPXKOSPIAVGOBrent Crude Oil

Themes

Artificial Intelligence Investment TradeGeopolitical De-escalationInflation and Interest Rate Normalization

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesChinaSouth Korea