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Goldman Sachs

May 11, 2026

Bank of China 1Q26 Post Result NDR Takeaways

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Goldman Sachs reports that Bank of China expects NIM improvement in 2026 and targets 8% loan growth while maintaining a 30% dividend payout ratio. Management remains optimistic about stable revenue growth despite pressure in retail consumer loan asset quality.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.NIM is expected to improve in 2026 from 4Q25 levels, driven by lower funding costs as deposit repricing continues.
  • 2.Full-year loan growth is targeted at approximately 8%, supported by robust corporate loan expansion.
  • 3.Asset quality remains largely stable, with a focus on managing consumer loan pressure and a slight rise in mortgage NPL ratios to 0.8%.

Table of Contents

  • NIM
  • Loans
  • Deposits
  • Asset Quality
  • Non-NII
  • Capital, Profit, Shareholder Return
  • Price Target Risks and Methodology - Bank of China
  • GS Forecast
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Shuo YangClaire Ouyang

Securities

3988601988

Themes

Cost of Funding ReductionNet Interest Margin (NIM) StabilizationNon-Interest Income Diversification

Regions

Asia PacificChina