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Goldman Sachs

June 18, 2026

Global Economics Wrap-Up

Weekly UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsEnergyReal Estate

This report covers global economic conditions, noting significant energy-related spending headwinds for developed markets and hawkish signals from the recent FOMC meeting. Central banks globally are responding with mixed monetary policy, ranging from rate hikes in Asia to continued holds in Europe.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Consumer spending headwinds from energy price shocks are expected to intensify in 2026H2 across Developed Markets.
  • 2.The FOMC meeting delivered a hawkish surprise with nine participants projecting at least one rate hike in 2026.
  • 3.Global central bank activity remains diverse, with rate hikes in Japan, Philippines, and Indonesia, while others maintain holds.

Table of Contents

  • Global Economics
  • US Economics
  • Europe Economics
  • Asia/EM Economics
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Joseph BriggsAndrew TiltonKatya VashkinskayaJessica RindelsSarah Dong

Securities

US Federal Funds RateBank of England Bank RateBank of Japan Policy Rate

Themes

Central bank hawkish divergenceEnergy-driven consumer spending headwindsGlobal GDP growth cooling

Regions

GlobalNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesChinaJapan