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J.P. Morgan

May 20, 2026

Credit Calls

Market ReportCommoditiesDerivativesRates CreditEnergyMaterials

J.P. Morgan's daily credit research highlight's Hilcorp Energy's improved production guidance, flattening High Grade spread curves amid record-high UST yields, and Novelis' earnings miss due to operational headwinds.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Hilcorp Energy reported a soft 1Q26 but raised its FY26 production guidance to incorporate Permian asset exchange impacts, targeting 500mboe/d by 4Q26.
  • 2.Credit Index Futures roll season has begun with open interest reaching $9.4bn and daily volumes averaging $1.2bn.
  • 3.High Grade (HG) spread curves flattened significantly as long-end UST yields rose to 5.13%, their highest level since 2007.

Table of Contents

  • Feature
  • Strategy & Sector Commentary
  • Company Comments
  • Head of North America Credit Research and Strategy
  • Important Disclosures
  • History of Investment Recommendations
  • Explanation of Credit Research Valuation Methodology, Ratings and Risk to Ratings
  • J.P. Morgan Credit Research Ratings Distribution, as of April 04, 2026
  • Other Disclosures
  • Legal Entities Disclosures and Country-/Region-Specific Disclosures

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Authors

Tarek HamidSaul DoctorSilvi MantriArjun Chandar

Securities

Hilcorp EnergyHNDLINCBOE Credit Index Futures

Themes

Operational Headwinds in IndustrialsRate Volatility and Spread Compression

Regions

North AmericaUnited States