Scotiabank Economics
May 13, 2026
US Core Services Inflation Lit Up in April
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Staples
US core CPI for April came in hot at 0.4% m/m, driven by an 'explosive' 5.5% SAAR increase in core services excluding shelter. While shelter costs rose due to statistical factors, the broad-based heat in services inflation remains a major concern for markets and the Fed.
Key Takeaways
- 1.April Core CPI inflation rose by 0.4% m/m, exceeding the consensus estimate of 0.3%.
- 2.Core services inflation (excluding energy and shelter) accelerated significantly, reaching a 5.5% SAAR.
- 3.Shelter inflation's 0.6% surge is categorized as a temporary statistical catch-up from a prior government shutdown and is expected to soften.
Table of Contents
- Contributors
- US Core Services Inflation Lit Up in April
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Authors
Derek Holt
Securities
US 2-Year Treasury Yield
Themes
Fed Policy HawkishnessPolitical Impact on Prices (Tariffs)Sticky Core Services Inflation
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
