UBS maintains an Attractive stance on Emerging Market equities and bonds, citing their role as providers of essential real assets and AI technology in a fragmenting multipolar world. However, tactical adjustments include downgrading Brazil equities and turning neutral on EM carry currencies due to political and inflationary risks.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Global geopolitics is shifting from a unipolar integrated order to a fragmented multipolar environment, prioritizing resilience over efficiency.
- 2.Emerging markets are positioned as key providers of critical real assets like energy, metals, and food that the world needs for economic security.
- 3.Concentration in North Asian tech (TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix) now dominates the MSCI EM index, accounting for over 27% of its weight.
Table of Contents
- Editorial
- Global investment views
- Romania
- Peru
- Equities
- USD bonds strategy
- Currencies
- Emerging market asset snapshot
- Emerging markets publications
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Authors
Maximilian KunkelThemis ThemistocleousAlejo Czerwonko
Securities
SK HynixSamsung Electronics2330MSCI EMJPMorgan EMBI Global
Themes
AI-Driven Market ConcentrationCommodity ResilienceMultipolarity and Fragmentation
Regions
Asia PacificLatin AmericaEuropeRomaniaPeruBrazil
