Strategy Chartbook

Market ReportCommoditiesEquitiesFXConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy

This report highlights the continued robustness of AI demand indicators despite ongoing volatility in global macro markets. It identifies 'semiconductor syndrome' in East Asia and a shifting bond regime as key strategic themes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.AI demand indicators remain robust and suggest the AI rally has durability.
  • 2.US bond yields are experiencing higher highs and lows due to more volatile inflation and geopolitical factors.
  • 3.Semiconductor-heavy economies like Taiwan and Korea are experiencing 'semiconductor syndrome', defined by a surge in exports without corresponding FX appreciation.

Table of Contents

  • Summary - Key Points
  • Macro Drivers
  • Semiconductor Syndrome
  • AI demand indicators looking robust
  • Consensus GDP forecasts
  • Consensus CPI forecasts
  • Multi Asset
  • Fixed Income
  • Currencies
  • Equities
  • Alternatives

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Authors

Daniel von AhlenRory Green

Securities

NVDAMSCI EM

Themes

AI Demand RobustnessInflation VolatilitySemiconductor Syndrome

Regions

GlobalAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaJapan