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Morgan Stanley's research underscores a transformative era for physical AI and infrastructure, projecting a $25 trillion robot revenue market by 2050 as tech giants deploy data probes to overcome Moravec’s Paradox. This shift is supported by a massive expansion in US hyperscaler capex, which is expected to nearly double to $805 billion by 2026, driving US GDP growth to 2.3% and S&P 500 earnings growth to 23%. However, this expansion comes with significant supply chain costs; the new Vera Rubin (VR200) AI rack is priced at nearly $7.8 million, fueled by triple-digit price surges in memory (+435%) and PCBs (+233%). While the firm remains overweight on US equities due to resilient growth and a 38% year-over-year increase in corporate capex plans, it highlights inflation risks to bond markets if strategic spending remains inelastic. Geopolitical volatility in the Strait of Hormuz continues to disrupt tanker traffic and energy markets, adding a layer of uncertainty to the global outlook. Conversely, the UK labour market shows signs of cooling, with the jobless rate rising to 5% and pay growth subsiding to 3.04%, which may allow for future central bank flexibility despite downside risks to regional growth.

84 reports available

Weekly Warm-up: The Broadening Gains Steam as Semis Lose Momentum thumbnail

Weekly Warm-up: The Broadening Gains Steam as Semis Lose Momentum

Morgan Stanley·Jul 6, 2026

The market broadening thesis is accelerating as Semiconductor momentum fades. Morgan Stanley recommends rotating into Consumer Discretionary, Transports, and Biotech.

AI's Final Frontier thumbnail

AI's Final Frontier

Morgan Stanley·Jul 7, 2026

Morgan Stanley initiates SpaceX (SPCX.O) at Overweight with a $300 price target. The firm highlights SpaceX's vertical integration in launch, LEO connectivity, and AI infrastructure as a key long-term platform.

Exploring the Turning Point of the AI Rally Lessons from the Dot-com Bubble thumbnail

Exploring the Turning Point of the AI Rally Lessons from the Dot-com Bubble

Morgan Stanley·Jul 6, 2026

This report analyzes the Dot-com Bubble to identify early warning signals for a potential reversal in the current AI and semiconductor rally, emphasizing the critical role of foreign investor flow reversals.

Quant Driven Earnings Ideas thumbnail

Quant Driven Earnings Ideas

Morgan Stanley·Jul 3, 2026

Morgan Stanley's quantitative research team identifies stocks poised for earnings surprises by integrating MS analyst ratings with a proprietary Earnings Surprise Composite score. The report provides actionable stock lists for the July-August 2026 earnings season.

Japan Equity Strategy: Tested, Not Derailed thumbnail

Japan Equity Strategy: Tested, Not Derailed

Morgan Stanley·Jul 3, 2026

Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish outlook on Japanese equities, setting a TOPIX target of 4,300 for June 2027. The thesis is built on long-term structural reforms, the AI investment cycle, and corporate governance progress.

Japan Rates Strategy: Fading Inflation Risk But Chasing Fiscal Risk thumbnail

Japan Rates Strategy: Fading Inflation Risk But Chasing Fiscal Risk

Morgan Stanley·Jul 3, 2026

The report highlights a growing fiscal risk premium in long-end JGBs amid fading inflation concerns. Strategists recommend long positions in 5y JGBs while maintaining steepeners on the curve to navigate expected summer seasonality.

NATO Summit 2026 Preview

Morgan Stanley·Jul 3, 2026

Flyby: 250 Years of Independence - A Reflection on the Cost of Freedom

Morgan Stanley·Jul 3, 2026

Semiconductor Inventory Tracker

Morgan Stanley·Jul 1, 2026

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