How To Hedge A Slow Equity Sell-Off

DerivativesEquitiesOther

This report outlines an adaptive, systematic hedging strategy using short-dated, fixed-payout put spreads to mitigate risk during slow, persistent equity drawdowns. The approach addresses path dependency and allows for counter-cyclical performance through a dynamic budgeting framework.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Short-dated ATM fixed payout ratio put spreads provide predictable downside cover because the spread width adapts to market volatility.
  • 2.Using short-dated options reduces the path dependence associated with long-dated options, which is crucial after strong rallies.
  • 3.Budgeting strategies introduce counter-cyclicality, buying more protection in benign markets and less during sell-offs, improving performance.

Table of Contents

  • Short-dated put spreads with fixed maximum payout ratio to hedge a slow sell-off
  • Key takeaways
  • Fixed max. payout ratio put spreads and market pricing
  • Higher skew leads to lower put spread widths
  • Strategy reactivity
  • Benefitting from budgeting
  • Budgeting for other indices: EURO STOXX 50 and Nikkei 225

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Authors

Kunal Thakkar

Securities

S&P 500SX5ENikkei 225

Themes

Hedging StrategyMarket VolatilityRisk Management

Regions

EuropeUnited StatesJapan