Topic

Rate Hikes Research

Global financial markets are currently characterized by a moderation in rate hike expectations, which has contributed to firmer bond yields across the US and Australia. This shift is occurring amidst a backdrop of cautious optimism, exemplified by the S&P 500's ninth consecutive weekly gain and a resilient rebound in the software sector. Analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve's future trajectory will be heavily influenced by upcoming macro indicators, specifically ISM price subindices and employment reports. Regionally, the Swedish Riksbank is projected to maintain a steady policy rate of 1.75% for the remainder of 2026, even as manufacturing input prices remain elevated at 81.6. Furthermore, falling oil prices and signs of cooling consumer spending in Australia provide additional latitude for central banks to navigate potential pauses in tightening cycles. Overall, while inflationary pressures persist in sectors like manufacturing, the prevailing research trend points toward a stabilization of the global interest rate environment.

3729 reports available

Hawkish Shift Opens The Door To Fed Rate Hikes

ING·Jun 17, 2026

The Federal Reserve's recent meeting marked a clear hawkish shift, signaling higher policy rate projections despite ING maintaining a call for an extended pause. The market responded with a flatter yield curve and a stronger US Dollar.

Morning Market Tidbits

Bank of America·Jun 22, 2026

BofA Global Research has revised its Fed outlook to call for 75bp of interest rate hikes in 2026, citing sticky inflation and a hawkish Fed reaction function. This shift reflects a pivot away from previous expectations of rate cuts.

Rate Hiking Cycle Is Far From Over

TS Lombard·Jun 18, 2026

Despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, structural inflation and resilient labor markets suggest the global interest-rate hiking cycle has further to run. The US Federal Reserve faces the greatest risk of falling behind the curve, potentially causing market volatility in 2027.

Global Economic Viewpoint Mid-Year Review Hydration Break

Bank of America·Jun 25, 2026

This report provides a mid-year assessment of the global economy, noting resilience from the AI boom and a fragile peace deal in the Middle East. It highlights a hawkish turn from the US Federal Reserve as a key risk to continued growth.

Scaling Back Exposure To EM Assets

TS Lombard·Jun 26, 2026

TS Lombard recommends rotating out of EM assets into DM equities and High-Yield credit to navigate potential US Fed tightening and a strengthening dollar. They maintain AI-related overweights in Korea and Taiwan but warn of softening Chinese growth.

What Are The Biggest Market Dislocations

Deutsche Bank·Jul 7, 2026

This report examines current market dislocations, noting that while risk assets like equities and credit have returned to pre-conflict levels, rates markets continue to price in a hawkish Fed. This inconsistency leaves markets vulnerable to adjustment if economic growth fails to exceed expectations.

Think Ahead: Are Rate Hikes Pointless

ING·Jun 12, 2026

FX Daily Snapshot

MUFG·Jun 24, 2026

FX Strategy Presentation

J.P. Morgan·Jun 22, 2026

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